Thursday, February 28, 2008
Robert Dallek's Guide To Assessing The Presidency
The nice part is that you do not have to be a historian to grasp its complexities. It's an extremely simple concept, and therein lies its genius.
In short, the book analyzes an effective President under five broad categories: V.P.C.C.T.
Vision, Pragmatism, Consensus, Charisma, and Trust.
No trait is greater than the other, as there are Presidents who embody all, some, few, or none.
Vision- This is a broad, general direction of where the country is going. Vision usually involves multiple aspects of American society. In Presidential terms, John Quincy Adams and John F. Kennedy embody this trait. If you want to hit a little closer to home, think Martin Luther King, Jr.
Pragmatism- This is a "chameleon in plaid." This is someone who understands the need to change tactics, and is quick to adapt to various changes. Presidentially, Franklin D. Roosevelt and Dwight D. Eisenhower are perfect examples.
Consensus- This is the ability to gather support from various parties throughout the country. These are the folks who usually bring people together. Think George Washington and Theodore Roosevelt.
Charisma- These are the folks who influence with words and body language. These are masters of rhetoric, and people love them. Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan are two ends of the same spectrum.
Trust- Perhaps the most difficult aspect for a President to embody, an honest President sometimes clashes with the necessity for pragmatism. More often than not, honest Presidents usually have low approval ratings. Examples: Jimmy Carter and Harry Truman.
There are some odd cases. Richard Nixon was a great visionary leader, but a scoundrel who lacked vision. Andrew Jackson was trustworthy, but he sacked the National Bank.
Honestly, you can't fully access the effectiveness of a President until their term has long expired. Only now can we truly start to access George H.W. Bush's Presidency. As much as I love to yell at Bush, Jr., we're still in it.
So, the candidates.
Obama, Clinton, and McCain. Using the 5 points to what we already know... let's break them down.
Vision- Barack Obama has the best of the bunch. He knocks this trait out of the ballpark, and that's exactly why voters are flocking to him in drobes. Clinton and McCain have vision, but they both seem to limit themselves.
Pragmatism- Clinton wins by a longshot. She gets the job done, and she has the experience to know when change in strategy is necessary. McCain has been thought of as anti-pragmatic, but his stance on many things has changed recently to cater to conservatives.
Consensus- Barack Obama is again, the best of the bunch. He is crossing party lines often, and it's working. McCain does that too, but he is still despised by many conservatives. And we all know Clinton's history with Republicans, Democrats, Independents, etc.
Charisma- They are all fairly charismatic, but Obama's speaking ability throws him above the other two. The key: watch the crowd as Obama speaks. McCain and Clinton have their own charisma, but it comes and goes.
Trust- McCain has shown himself to be the most trustworthy, though he has shown fragments of pragmatism as of late. We simply do not know enough about Obama to properly judge. But that's a good thing (not a lot of voting records to hold against him). Clinton is perhaps the classic case of the pragmatic vs. trust issue. Not many people trust Hillary Clinton, but she'll fight for what she believes in.
Right now, vision stands head and shoulders above the rest. Obama is surging in the polls. If he's the candidate, he's going to be extremely difficult to defeat. He's breaking historical trend in his popularity, and I love every minute of it.
Personally, I'm willing to forego my own stingy liberal beliefs for great vision. My lack of faith in governing bodies in general has utterly waned. I see both parties as negligent and utterly apathetic to the cause of the needy, and the dreams of me and my fellow citizens. So, I think it's time for some J.Q.A. vision.
Since Dennis Kucinich and John Edwards dropped, hopefully the third time is indeed the charm.
I'm voting for Barack Obama... and I hope he doesn't let me and the millions of people rooting for him down.
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
The Asylum Narrows to Four (In Reality, 3)
Problem: the right hates him because he deals with Democrats, and he isn't conservative enough. I think it's pretty funny... watching the idiot-train eat him alive.
Meanwhile...
The Democratic race is far from decided.
Obama is the front-runner now. He won all three states. For the first time, he is leading the delegates. The magic number is 2,025.
Obama has 1215 and Clinton has 1190.
There are 1,618 delegates left.
Everyone is worried about a tie. In this case, a tie means that neither candidate hits 2,025.
If both candidates split everything right down the middle, Obama will still be one candidate short. The tie means that someone's going to get shafted, as there will have to be a deal made. If that happens, people are going to feel left out, and possibly vote Republican.
Here's the weird thing:
These idiots called "superdelegates," aren't required to vote the way their district says. So, essentially, they could change their mind right up to the election.
Obama has momentum, and that's huge. I'm voting for Obama.
I've supported Kucinich, but he dropped. Then I supported Edwards, and he dropped. Third time's the charm? No idea.
Thursday, January 31, 2008
Random Musings
Barack or Hillary? I have no earthly clue. The two of them have both parts effective and both parts stupid. It suspect it will continue to stay ugly until after "Super Tuesday" (I hate saying that).
Well, the idiot field has cleared considerably. Two Democrats; Four Republicans (if you count Ron Paul). McCain looks like a shoo-in for the Republicans, barring Mitt Romney magically transforming into a Democrat and back into a Republican (which could very well happen overnight).
They love to throw out the "L" word, don't they? It reminds me of West Virginia churches. It's not even funny anymore, just sad.
As much of the Democratic persuasion as I am, I really wouldn't mind McCain (though folks can and do change in office). McCain seems to openly welcome the opportunity to work with Democrats. I also feel that he will do his utmost to keep us safe. Unlike our current President, I feel he is highly respectful of those in the military... a subject dear to my heart. His age works against him, but he is rather fit.
He would definitely be an improvement to the current status, methinks. No thanks to Ron Paul and Mike Huckabee. I'll vehemently oppose them in office.
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Heath Ledger is still on my mind. As I've said before, his passing has effected me more than celebrity before him... James Brown, Christopher Reeve, Steve Irwin, etc.
No, I didn't know Ledger. No, I wasn't his biggest fan, though I was a huge fan of his films... even before he was chosen to play the Joker. "The Patriot" and "The Order" were my two favorites from his filmography. When he was chosen to play the Joker, I rented "Brokeback Mountain" just to see his range. While the movie itself was good (save the horrible music and that one scene), Ledger was phenomenal.
This is going to last a long while. After July, Ledger will become etched into legend. Mark my words.
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John Grisham has a new novel out. When I get some dinero, I'll pick up "The Appeal." If you haven't read his works, try "The Last Juror."
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Is there some sort of black cloud over marriage? I know, divorce rates are high... what else is new? The reason for asking is that I receive a "how's married life going..." or "are you still glad to be hitched..." at every single turn.
Married life is blissful; I freaking love it. I love being married. I can't stress that enough. Perhaps people are rather stupid when it comes into getting hitched. I see marriage as a freedom, not a prison.
I've had so much bad luck with so many women. I remember all the names, and the legendary failures. I honestly thought God was punishing me because I couldn't find the one. However, when I found the one, life got a whole lot better.
Marriage is work, but it's good work. It's like getting paid for kissing. Best job I've ever had.
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The economy is in the shitter... who knew? You know, my guy mentioned the economy long before the idiot parade started. As in years before. Just remember that. As such, Bush is actually working with Democrats... and Congress is actually awake. Who knew? It's going to take a lot more work to fix this mess, though. Trickle-down economics isn't the solution. There are poor people who are in a lot worse shape than those of upper class.
Oh yeah, and the tax cuts Bush wants to make permanent? Guess what? That helps those who have the money, not those without the money. This was done by the C.B.O. (Congressional Budget Office), an independent agency. So this isn't a left-wing conspiracy theory. This is real, and it bites.
http://money.cnn.com/2007/01/08/pf/taxes/bush_tax_cuts/index.htm
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A61178-2004Aug12.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/08/washington/08tax.html
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Personally, I've got a good feeling about some positive change coming my way. A really good feeling. When this change happens, I'll be a happier person.
Friday, January 11, 2008
More Weight to the "Ron Paul is a Racist Ass" Assertion?
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/01/10/paul.newsletters/index.html
My take? I think Paul, despite his internet popularity, needs to give it a rest. Do know I also include Mike Gravel, Fred Thompson, and Duncan Hunter in the "give it a rest" category.
Wednesday, January 9, 2008
Told Ya So; Fair Tax
As such, you can throw the rulebooks out the window. Obama's victory meant nothing, and it was proven last night in New Hampshire. Guess what? Hillary's victory doesn't mean anything, either. McCain? Huckabee?
Come on, folks... we've got months to sort this mess out. The good part is: we'll be eliminating the idiot field as the weeks pass.
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I'm doing some research on the Fair Tax. I have no earthly idea if I support it or not, but I have come to some preliminary conclusions.
1. 23% is a big chunk of change, regardless if the government sends you a prebate.
- Breaking it down for folks like me, the feds send you $391 a month. That's roughly $95 bucks a week. I'm not so sure if that'll cover the costs of groceries and such, especially if you're poor.
2. It would abolish the IRS. That's a lot of folks who are suddenly unemployed, and I'm not sure if there are enough jobs to cover the workers and their families.
3. It's supported by folks like Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, and Sean Hannity... which automatically makes me nervous. But, it's also supported by Mike Gravel. Despite Gravel being a kook and an idealist, I agree with a lot of statements he makes. However, Gravel is the only Democratic candidate who supports the plan. Obama stated that if he wins the Presidency, that he won't veto the bill.
For now, I think the Fair Tax would do more harm than good, simply because I'm barely surviving now. Add in the 23% bonus prize, and I just may crumble. However, I need more information... so I'll dig.
Monday, January 7, 2008
Equally Corrupt: Reds and Blues
http://www.judicialwatch.org/judicial-watch-announces-list-washington-s-ten-most-wanted-corrupt-politicians-2007
So, I've got some fessing up to do.
I have no earthly idea who I want to gain the Presidency. I know who I don't want: None of the Republicans (save perhaps McCain), and most of the Democrats (save Edwards, Clinton, Kucinich).
Yeah, I named a Republican... because it's fair to do so. I suppose I could deal with McCain.
By the way, folks... those Iowa results mean nothing.
Back to my original thoughts...
Okay, we know Dennis Kucinich isn't going to win. But, I like the man, and he has the nuts to stand up to Cheney. He's also more left than folks can deal with.
I'm also not jumping on the Obama bandwagon. I think the Republicans could eat him for lunch, because of his lack of experience. But guess what? His lack of experience, as I've said before, is a good thing... fewer voting records to hold against him.
So, Hillary or John?
I'm more of a fan of John Edwards, to be honest... because of his aggressive stances against poverty. I hear about the voices for the middle class... but what about the voice for the poor? I'm poor, and I'm very happy Edwards is speaking out for folks in similar situations as myself. I could care less if he spends $1,000 on a haircut. It makes him weird and funny. Now, if that $1,000 was spent illegally... I'd be the first to rip him apart.
I like Hillary because she's tough as nails, and has the political clout to undo much of the mess the 2008 winner will inherit. But I really don't know.
Most likely: it'll be Hillary or Barack. The Republican race is wide-freaking open.
So, corruption and bigotry.
We'll start with the corruption of Mike Huckabee, a surprise candidate coming to us under the guise of wholesome Christian values. Make no mistake: he's just like the rest of them... only he uses Christianity as a weapon.
So, this guy destroys state government files and has questionable management of his campaign funding. Nothing new. The kicker? He sued the "state ethics commission twice and attempted to shut the ethics process down." Hmmm... he sues the guys who uphold moral principals. That's like saying: I stole your car, but it's ok. Jesus told me to do it.
He does exploit the "religion thing," and he does it well. Check this out:
“Let every one of us make it our priority to bring reconciliation, not so much that we can force it or legislate it, because we cannot, but that we begin in each of our own lives to purpose in our hearts that we will not harbor anger, hostility, prejudice, bigotry and racism toward any person," Arkansas State of the State, 1997.
That was meant in the context of race relations, and I commend him on that. But he said "any person."
So why does he say this...
"There’s never been a civilization that has rewritten what marriage and family means and survived," GQ.
Okay... we know he's not a fan of marriage equality. That's questionable, but that doesn't make him a bigot, right?
"Homosexuality is an aberrant, unnatural, and sinful lifestyle, and we now know it can pose a dangerous public health risk," 1992.
Ummm... would you like to rethink your statements, some 15 years later?
"Saturday in North Carolina, Huckabee stood his ground and said he believed that homosexuality is sinful and is not normal behavior; that it "is outside the boundaries of man/woman relationship and its tradition of marriage." http://www.abcnews.go.com/GMA/Story?id=3974249&page=2
Guess not. So, how to twist it for his supporters? Huckabee's statements were meant in the context of AIDS. After all, it was in the same questionnaire. Well, if so, why is Huckabee mentioning homosexuality in the same vein as HIV?
Because that's what good Christians do. They hide behind the mask of virtue. But they're not bigots, they're just misunderstood.
While we're pondering that, here's a couple of Huckabee gems:
"And the ultimate thing is, I may not be the expert that some people are on foreign policy, but I did stay in a Holiday Inn Express last night." What exactly does that mean? Holiday Inn Express... foreign policy. The connection? Hmmm... what label is Huckabee mentally applying, if any?
“I was very sick the day of the debate. I had all of the problems with the flu and bronchitis that you have, including running to the bathroom. I was just hanging on. I could not wait until the debate got off so I could go to the bathroom.” –on why he said at a GOP presidential debate that an employer should be allowed to fire gay workers, after previously having blamed a faulty hearing aid for his answer.
Let's be real here: if this guy gets elected, and you aren't a heterosexual Christian...
...you're fucked.
That, ladies and gentlemen, is why we separate church and state.
Monday, December 17, 2007
Dumb Quotes, Part 4: The Last of the Inmates
Rudy Guiliani.
"I'm rooting for the Red Sox. I'm an American League fan and I go with the American League team." You've just broken the first commandment for all Yankee fans... and you're a Yankee diehard. Rudy, you don't do that... that's treason to New Yorkers.
"I'm probably one of the four or five best known Americans in the world." Wow, Teddy Roosevelt anyone?
"Oh, you dirty boy! Donald, I thought you were a gentleman." --while dressed in drag, after having his "breasts" fondled by Donald Trump. I'm for marriage equality, but seeing Rudy in drag just creeps me out. And this guy wants to be President?!?!?
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John Edwards.
"I'm going to be honest with you—I don't know a lot about Cuba's healthcare system. Is it a government-run system?" And this coming from someone claiming to be for universal health care. Meaning, you're supposed to know these things. And you're an attorney. John, that's inexcusible.
"The president of the United States has to actually be able to walk and chew gum at the same time, has to be able to do two things at the same time." Echo, anyone? Marco!
"They have led us from the edge of greatness when Bill Clinton left office to the edge of a cliff." I'm a liberal, but can you name one thing Bill did? Come on, John, I love Bill... but he wasn't that great.
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Mitt Romney.
"I'm happy to learn that after I speak you're going to hear from Ann Coulter. That's a good thing. I think it's important to get the views of moderates." --right before Coulter called John Edwards a "faggot." Anyone who calls Coulter a moderate automatically loses their right to run for office. Next!
"I purchased a gun when I was a young man. I've been a hunter pretty much all my life." (Romney's campaign later said he'd been hunting twice, once when he was 15, and once in 2006 at a Republican fundraiser). Wow, this guy really is John Kerry's Republican twin.
"I'm not a big-game hunter. I've made that very clear. I've always been a rodent and rabbit hunter. Small varmints, if you will." ... "kilt 'im a ba're when he was only 3..." Come on, Mitt. No one is going to vote for you by romanticizing your image. No one believes that, unless you're from West Virginia.
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Hillary Clinton.
"We are going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." See... that kind of statement makes people afraid of you. I know you're drawing a parallel to Bush, but sometimes... it's better to shut up.
"I'm not going to have some reporters pawing through our papers. We are the president." I don't even know where to begin to respond to that one.
"The question is, we face a lot of dangers in the world and, in the gentleman's words, we face a lot of evil men. And what in my background equips me to deal with evil and bad men?" --laughing off a question from a voter who asked Clinton what qualified her to deal with leaders from countries such as Iran and North Korea. Are you trying to dig at Bill? Or Bush? See, Senator, that's why Republicans are afraid of you... like everyone is afraid of Dick Cheney. You're just too scary.
I think I've made my point. I'm so mentally fatigued by these candidates. Somewhere down the line, I'll give some more of these dumb quotes... so everyone can see just how dumb our leaders can be.
As funny and disturbing as these little gems are, please remember that no candidate is flawless, no matter how gleaming the resume, how ethical their religious beliefs, how humanitarian their causes, or how eloquent a speaker. They're human beings, ladies and gentlemen.
So, who's your pick? :)
Friday, December 14, 2007
Dumb Quotes from the 2008 Race, Part 3
Don't they deserve to be stupid, too?
Absolutely. These candidates want to be treated the same as the heavyweights, so let's do it!
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Fred Thompson. His heavyweight status is now being sorely tested by Huckabee, Romney, McCain, and Guiliani. Sorry, Jack, but you've got two things running against you.
1. You've been a Senator, just like some of the other idiots in the race. So guess what? Voting records a plenty to be held against you. 2. Your moving picture career. We've already had a actor-President, and currently have an actor-governor. Being an actor of sound mind, that takes away the right for you to say stupid things (except if you're Tom Cruise). So, don't say anything stupid, ok? Ok? You're not listening to me!
"I'm afraid that the Soviet Union and China are not ever going to do anything that's going to hurt them that badly but we need to ratchet those up if at all possible." --on how he would deal with Russia. Wow. Vague much? You sound like Obama, and I think you may have lost your Oscar.
"Gosh, no one has told me that there's any major reserves in the Everglades, but maybe that's one of the things I need to learn while I'm down here" --after being asked his position on oil drilling in the Florida Everglades. A Republican naive of an oil reserve. Who knew? Are you lying, or are you stupid?
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Dennis Kucinich. I really love this guy. His voice screams "impersonate me, for I know everything." He wants to impeach Dick Cheney. Unfortunately, I really think he believes it can happen. That puts him in the idiot category, too. None of us can win. He's also got voting records to hold against him.
"War can be so impersonal yet when we put a name, a face, a place and match it to families, then war is not impersonal." Captain Obvious strikes. No one likes to go to war. Sometimes, it's a necessity. See World War II for more. Sheesh.
“There are so many things to investigate this Administration for,” Ok... like what? There are 1001 reasons, clown. Are you incapable of naming one of them? Next!
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Ron Paul. Along with being a stunt double for Ratatouille, rumor has it that this guy raised a load of money from the internet. Like Kucinich, he's from the House. He's also ran for President. Guess what? He's about to go 0-2.
"If you have ever been robbed by a black teen-aged male, you know how unbelievably fleet-footed they can be." Just for that, I hope you do get robbed, Mr. Paul. Nice one.
"Given the inefficiencies of what D.C. laughingly calls the `criminal justice system,' I think we can safely assume that 95 percent of the black males in that city are semi-criminal or entirely criminal." Wow, in masquerading as tolerance advocate, Mr. Paul becomes moron. 95%? I guess the legacy of Andrew Jackson will never die.
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Bill Richardson. Being governor of New Mexico is a good thing, as governors garner some very good historical attention to getting elected. The NRA also rates this guy (a Democrat) very high. Unfortunately, he's in the asylum, along with the rest of them.
"I've been told that I have a lot of energy. The secret is that I use renewable resources. Some days I'm solar powered. Some days I'm wind powered. And some people in this room might think I'm hybrid gas-powered. You'll just have to guess which it is today." Really? Bill Richardson is energized by the sun? Where's the plate on your head to allow that to happen? I'm guessing you're running on Viagra.
"I don't have all the answers. I need your help, your guidance, and your leadership to tackle the challenges before us." Aww... humility. Isn't that just the cutest thing? If you don't have all the answers, do you have some of the answers. I think you're full of crap.
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Ladies and gentlemen, we don't have a lot to work with. We've been striking out for years. We've gone from Dwight D. Eisenhower to George W. Bush, and from John F. Kennedy to John "I believe in everything" Kerry. From the list of candidates above, the devolution may just continue.